Newell Palmer: Monthly Economic Notes – Sept 2016

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Economic Overview

Following the economic crisis of 2008, government debt levels in many advanced economies rose as governments sought to rescue the financial system and boost demand, but the underlying issues of employment and stagnant incomes have remain unresolved creating a backlash against globalisation and international trade. Housing affordability has declined due to excess liquidity causing property values to rise. The inability of governments to deliver on promises to restore growth and prosperity is a factor causing the rise of populist movements and nationalism. Brexit, for example, is symptomatic of these pressures. Looking ahead, these same forces will be in the background for the US presidential election, and the German and French elections in 2017. Even if they are unlikely to gain power in their own right, far-right and far-left political parties or movements are reshaping agendas. The United Kingdom Independence Party (which has a single elected member in the U.K. House of Commons) was influential in June’s EU referendum.

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